How Will the Economy Affect E-Business?
From RIS
News:
Electronic
commerce has grown about 22 percent in the past two years, said Hal Varian,
[Google’s chief economist], who spoke at a forum on the state of the Internet
economy at Google's new Washington office. Ed Garrubbo, chairman of
the Electronic Retailing Association, said online sales jumped 17 percent in the
first quarter of this year.
"The lesson here
is that the economic slowdown is not an Internet slowdown," Varian said. "The
Internet is looking pretty strong compared to other
sectors."
I wonder if the slow down for brick-and-mortar retail is actually a boon for the e-commerce industry.
Research published in Claes Fornell’s recent book, The
Satisfied Customer: Winners and Losers in the Battle for Buyer Preference,
he proves that a customer’s ability
to spend is not necessarily a predictor of his willingness to spend. The best predictor,
as crazy as it may sound, is whether or not that customer is satisfied. A
satisfied customer will spend even if they don’t have the money.
Study after study shows that the
online channel is the bright spot in any industry in terms of customer
satisfaction. In the February release
of the ACSI, we saw online retail (81.6 on the ACSI’s 100-point scale)
trounce offline retail, which scored 74.2. Our study with Forbes about online
financial services showed that customer satisfaction with online banking (82)
outpaced satisfaction with banking overall (78).
So,
in general, websites satisfy people more than other channels. Add that to
increasing gas prices, and I think we have a few good reasons for people to move
more and more of their business online. They can conduct business anytime,
anywhere, and they don’t have to worry about inconsistency in service. And if
the companies they interact with online are doing a good job satisfying
customers, it might not even matter how much money they
have!
My
bet is that we will continue to see growth in the online channels of industries
that are starting to feel the pinch of tough economic times, gas prices, and
inflation.